Forecasting Beaufort sea Wind Waves by Momentum Balance Method - Further Hindcast Studies

  • Date: 1987-06
  • Size (MB): 71

Abstract:

This report describes the development of a practical wave forecast model for the Beaufort Sea. The reliability of any forecasting procedure depends on the validity of the model and the suitability of the input to the model. The validity of the model depends on whether or not the relevant physics of the problem at hand have been properly represented. Validity can be determined by testing the model in hindcast mode, where appropriate input data is usually available. Once the models’ validity in hindcast mode is established its suitability for forecasting relies heavily on the accuracy of the inputs to the model. In fact in any modelling exercise it is the adequacy of inputs that can dictate the degree of success or failure of the model.

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